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The Risks Worth Taking

Peter Thiel said that in a rapidly changing world, the biggest risk you can take is to take no risk at all. So the question is: what kind of risks should you take?

  1. Take asymmetric risks: the kind with limited downside and unlimited upside.
  2. Take reversible risks: the kind where, if you lose, you can get back up and try again.
  3. Keep taking small risks continuously: not going all in at once.

The truly dangerous extremes are actually two: doing absolutely nothing (passive decline), or betting all your chips on one irreversible decision (sky-high fragility).